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Private payrolls increased at a faster than expected pace in April, indicating there are still plenty of tailwinds for the U.S. labor market, according to ADP. Companies with 500 or more workers showed the biggest gain in hiring with 98,000. In recent months, ADP has consistently undershot the Labor Department's count, though the numbers were fairly close in March. The department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that private payrolls increased by 232,000 for the month versus ADP's 208,000. Friday's report is expected to show growth of 204,000 in total nonfarm payrolls for April, down from March's 303,000, according to the consensus Dow Jones estimate.
Persons: payrolls, Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: ADP, Labor, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: March's
Private sector job growth expanded in March at its fastest pace since July 2023, indicating continuing buoyance in the U.S. labor market, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Those switching jobs saw gains of 10%, also higher than in previous months. ADP, whose survey is based on payroll data analysis of more than 25 million workers, does not track government jobs. The ADP estimate serves as a precursor to the Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls survey, set to be released Friday, though the numbers often diverge sharply. The department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported job growth of 275,000 in February, or 120,000 more than even ADP's revised figure.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: Companies, Labor, department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
A new ADP Research Institute report showed how teacher pay compares to the pay of all employees. Teacher pay as a share of the pay for all employees aged 20 to 25 has greatly fallen over the years. AdvertisementThere's a shortage of teachers, and young adults could be shying away from the profession as teacher pay becomes less competitive. And for teachers aged 25 to 30, that has increased from $49,427 in January 2018 to $59,780 in October 2023. Education isn't the only field that may have trouble attracting young job seekers.
Persons: ADP's Nela Richardson, , Nela Richardson, Jeff Nezaj, Gen Zers, Richardson, Nezaj, Gen, It's, Aaron Terrazas, we've Organizations: ADP Research, Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, ADP Research Institute, Census, Denver, Denver Classroom
What to expect in Friday’s jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
New York CNN —Don’t be surprised if Friday’s jobs report shows that February’s employment gains were far below those reported for January. In fact, it would continue a history-making stretch of labor market expansion. Friday’s jobs report could very well provide a more reliable read on what’s actually happening in the labor market than the jobs reports of recent months’ past, Julia Pollak, chief economist at ZipRecruiter, told CNN. “And so, February might give us a better understanding of the underlying rate of job growth,” she said. What the other labor market data is showingOther economic data released this week reinforces the idea that the US labor market is cooling but remains on solid footing.
Persons: New York CNN — Don’t, Julia Pollak, autoworkers, what’s, hasn’t, Nixon, ” Ron Hetrick, Gus Faucher, stayers ”, Faucher, , ” Nela Richardson, outplacement, ” Andrew Challenger, Lydia Boussour, EY, Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, of Labor Statistics, PNC Financial Services, BLS, Labor, Boomers, ADP, Challenger, , Labor Department Locations: New York, US
Private sector job growth improved during February though growth was slightly less than expected, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Companies added 140,000 positions for the month, an increase from the upwardly revised 111,000 in January but a bit below the Dow Jones estimate for 150,000. Other industries showing solid gains included trade, transportation and utilities (24,000), finance (17,000) and the other services category (14,000). Of the total, 110,000 came from the services sector while goods producers added 30,000. In recent months, ADP has consistently undershot the closely watched report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which showed an increase of 353,000 in January, more than triple the ADP estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson Organizations: Companies, Labor, ADP, Bureau of Labor Statistics
But the people driving the post-pandemic decline in hours worked fall into four categories: women, young adults, highly paid workers and employees at small businesses. Richardson points out that high earners can maintain their annual income while working fewer hours, thanks to big post-pandemic pay increases. Women are working more part-time jobs than menA record number of Americans — 22 million — are working part-time, Labor Department figures show. In 2019, women worked 4.4 hours less per week than men, who worked 40 hours. The industries that saw bigger declines in hours worked — health care, leisure and hospitality — are dominated by women.
Persons: Nela Richardson, Richardson, they're, Gen Zers, there's, Zers Organizations: ADP Research, U.S, ADP, Workers, Labor Department, National Women's Law, Deloitte Locations: U.S
A 7-Eleven convenience store has a sign in the window reading "Now Hiring" in Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S., July 8, 2022. Private payroll growth declined sharply in January, a possible sign that the U.S. labor market is heading for a slowdown this year, ADP reported Wednesday. Only one sector — information services (-9,000) — reported a decline, but hiring was slow across virtually all sectors. While the ADP data can provide a barometer for private sector hiring, the two reports often differ, with ADP often undershooting the Labor Department's numbers. On wage gains, ADP reported a 5.2% annual rise, a number that has run above the government's measure of average hourly earnings.
Persons: Dow Jones, , nonfarm, Nela Richardson Organizations: ADP, Companies, Labor, CNBC PRO Locations: Cambridge , Massachusetts, U.S
The firm’s monthly survey showed 107,000 jobs were added, well below the 145,000 estimate. “Progress on inflation has brightened the economic picture despite a slowdown in hiring and pay,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. The ADP report comes two days ahead of the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report for January, with consensus estimates for about a 180,000 gain in payrolls after December’s better-than-expected 216,000 increase. “The January jobs report will likely show that the labor market started the year on a solid note,” said Lydia Boussour, EY senior economist. The strong job market and U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter led the International Monetary Fund to boost its projections of global economic growth this year.
Persons: , Nela Richardson, December’s, Lydia Boussour, EY, , Jerome Powell, José Torres Organizations: ADP, Labor, Federal Reserve, Observers, Interactive, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: U.S, payrolls, hawkish,
BINigel Vaz, CEO of Publicis Sapient, a consulting firm, compares the buzz around AI to the early days of the internet. BINela Richardson, chief economist at ADP, told BI there's a big learning gap on what constitutes AI. Much of what is being called "generative AI" has been around for decades, while much of what workers think is AI is actually automation. Similarly, Guru Gowrappan, CEO of ViaSat, a communications operator, says many companies are just talking about AI at Davos — but not actually doing much with it. And some of them are just recategorizing what they were doing to call it AI," he tells BI.
Persons: , I've, Davos — I've, Sheila Warren, there's, Warren, Nigel Vaz, Publicis, Vaz, Bain, Nela Richardson, Richardson, Ivana Bartoletti, Guru Gowrappan, Gowrappan Organizations: Service, Economic, Business, Davos —, Crypto, VR, Infosys, IBM, Accenture, Consulting, ADP, Wipro, ViaSat, Davos Locations: Davos
Insider looked at employment projections for work related to construction and infrastructure. Both white-collar and blue-collar jobs are poised to boom, with demand for construction laborers and truck drivers, as well as business services. President Joe Biden is also behind the need for more infrastructure construction. Construction and infrastructure jobs are growingConstruction laborers are projected to see employment growth of 61,900 from 2022 to 2032. This job typically requires a postsecondary nondegree award for entry and long-term on-the-job training for competency.
Persons: , Hannah Jones, Joe Biden, Kit Dickinson, Ed Brady, remodelers, Carpenter, Dickinson, Nela Richardson, Brady, Organizations: Service, Law, Georgetown University Center, Education, Workforce, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Home Builders Institute, National Association of Home Builders, BLS
At the height of the "great resignation," many new hires could expect to double their salaries or receive generous sign-on bonuses. But landing a new job today doesn't pay off like it did only a year ago. Lower quit rates, increasing labor supply and falling worker demand could all be to blame for slowing wage growth this year, says Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. Some industries have been hit harder than others: For new hires in finance, pay growth has been at a "literal standstill" since July, says Richardson. As Richardson cautions: "That new-hire glow — contentment fueled largely by big pay increases — is fading fast."
Persons: Nela Richardson, Richardson, Jobseekers, Chris Cicconi, Cicconi, Aerin Paulo, Paulo, I've Organizations: ADP Locations: Lower, U.S, Montreal, Connecticut
CNBC Daily Open: The Fed’s bringing cheer to markets
  + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Rates unchanged, againThe Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, holding the key federal funds rate in a target range between 5.25% to 5.5%. Markets cheered decisionU.S. markets rallied Wednesday as investors digested — and cheered — the Fed's decision to hold rates steady. Bond reliefThe U.S. Treasury Department will auction next week $112 billion in debt in three parts: $48 billion in 3-year notes, $40 billion in 10-year notes and $24 billion in 30-year bonds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Aston Martin, Nela Richardson, Steer, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Here's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, U.S . Treasury Department, Ford, GM Locations: U.S
ADP: Employers Add 113,000 Workers in October
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Tim Smart | Nov. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +2 min
Private employers added 113,000 workers in October, led by the education and health care sectors, payroll firm ADP said on Wednesday. “No single industry dominated hiring this month, and big post-pandemic pay increases seem to be behind us,” said ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson. Political Cartoons on the Economy View All 605 ImagesThe ADP report kicks off the week’s focus on employment data. “The 1.1% rise in the Employment Cost Index in Q3 was a touch stronger than expected but showed labor cost pressures continue to slowly ease on trend,” said Wells Fargo economists. “With the ECI still running north of 4%, labor cost growth remains too high to be consistent with the Fed's 2% inflation target.
Persons: , Nela Richardson, , it's, Wells, Rucha Vankudre, ” Vankudre Organizations: Labor Department,
Private sector payroll growth increased modestly in October but missed expectations, in a potential sign that the employment picture could be darkening, ADP reported Wednesday. On wages, ADP said pay was up 5.7% from a year ago, the smallest annual gain since October 2021. "In all, October's numbers paint a well-rounded jobs picture. The release comes two days ahead of the Labor Department's official nonfarm payrolls report, which is expected to show an increase of 170,000 and includes government jobs, unlike ADP. The counts from ADP and the government can differ substantially, as they did in September when the Labor Department reported a gain of 336,000, more than three times the ADP estimate.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, it's Organizations: CVS Health Corp, Dow, Labor, Labor Department Locations: San Francisco , California
What to expect from today’s Fed meeting
  + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
That would be the second consecutive meeting the Fed keeps rates unchanged. But that doesn’t mean the Fed is done hiking rates. Still, hawkish Fed officials — those who back a more aggressive approach to addressing inflation — believe there’s more room to raise rates. Domestic spending has continued at a strong pace and the labor market remains tight,” Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said last month in Morocco. The strong economy will likely slowDespite the Fed’s 11 rate hikes since March 2022, the US economy has displayed remarkable resilience.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , ” Powell, Michelle Bowman, ” Luke Tilley, Powell, Banks, , Nela Richardson Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, hawkish Fed, , Labor Department, Wilmington Trust, CNN Locations: Washington, New York, Morocco, Wilmington, Israel
Surveys suggest that despite cooling inflation and jobs gains, Americans remain deeply skeptical of the president's handling of the post-pandemic economy. Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images Al Drago | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesInflation is "always going to be a risk" in the U.S. due to structural changes in the labor market, according to Nela Richardson, chief economist at payroll processing firm ADP. Prior to that, interest rates had remained low for a decade as central banks around the world looked to stimulate their respective economies in the wake of the global financial crisis. "This was an economy built on very close to zero interest rates for 10 years of economic expansion, and that was OK because inflation was super low," she said. watch now"But now inflation has awakened, and if you look at demographic trends, labor shortages are not going away.
Persons: Al Drago, Nela Richardson, Richardson, It's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Federal Reserve, Market Committee, Dow Jones Locations: Ocean City , New Jersey, US, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. labor shortages and inflation risks are here to stay, ADP chief economist saysADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson discusses the state of the U.S. labor market and the broader outlook for the world's largest economy.
Persons: Nela Richardson
Private payroll growth tailed off sharply in September, according to an ADP report Wednesday that provides a counterweight to other signs that the labor market is still running strong. The payroll processing firm said job growth totaled just 89,000 for the month, down from an upwardly revised 180,000 in August and below the 160,000 estimate from economists polled by Dow Jones. Economists estimate non-farm payrolls increased by 170,000 in September, down from a 187,000 increase in August, according to Dow Jones. The report comes a day after the Labor Department said job openings unexpectedly rose sharply in August. ADP said job growth was strongest at companies with fewer than 50 employees, a sector that added 95,000 positions.
Persons: Dow Jones, Job, Nela Richardson Organizations: Federal Reserve, ADP, Labor Department, Labor Locations: New Brighton , Minnesota
Minneapolis CNN —US employers in the private sector added an estimated 89,000 jobs in September, a much lower total than expected and a potential indication of a sharp pullback in the labor market, payroll processor ADP reported Wednesday. The September tally landed well below economists’ estimates for 153,000 jobs added, as well as August’s upwardly revised total of 180,000 jobs added. While ADP’s tabulations don’t always correlate with the official federal jobs report — due out Friday — it’s sometimes viewed as a proxy for overall hiring activity, which has been gradually easing. “We’ve seen other times when we’ve had a relatively weak private sector number sandwiched between two stronger months,” Richardson said during a call with reporters. The BLS is set to release the all-important monthly jobs report for September at 8:30am ET on Friday.
Persons: , Nela Richardson, tabulations, it’s, We’ve, we’ve, ” Richardson, Ian Shepherdson, ” Shepherdson Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, ADP, , of Labor Statistics, Labor Locations: Minneapolis
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPrivate payrolls rose 89,000 in September, far below expectations, ADP saysCNBC’s Steve Liesman and ADP chief economist Nela Richardson join ‘Squawk Box’ to break down September ADP payrolls data, which tailed off sharply for the month.
Persons: Steve Liesman, Nela Richardson,
ADP: Employers Add Paltry 89,000 Jobs in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Tim Smart | Oct. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Employers added only 89,000 jobs in September, well below expectations, private payroll firm ADP said on Wednesday. "We are seeing a steepening decline in jobs this month," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. The report is the second to come this week on the health of the job market. On Tuesday, the Labor Department issued its report on job openings for August, with a surprising 9.6 million jobs available. While the job market has slowed in 2023, it still remains tight by historical standards.
Persons: Nela Richardson, , Lightcast, Rachel Sederberg, Julia Pollak, José Torres Organizations: ADP, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Interactive Brokers
In fact, an ADP analysis found that US workers were more likely to leave after getting promoted. AdvertisementAdvertisementIf they hadn't been promoted, the researchers estimated that only 18% of these workers would have left. It wasn't until six months after a promotion that the promoted and non-promoted had roughly the same odds of leaving their companies. While the 29% figure might not be quite so high today, the question remains: Why were recently promoted workers more likely to leave? It's possible some workers were already planning to switch jobs, and getting promoted didn't change their minds.
Persons: , Nela Richardson, Richardson Organizations: Service, ADP Research
A higher share of managers are looking for new roles than non-managers, Gallup found. This comes at a time when, overall, managers are experiencing higher levels of burnout and disengagement than their staff, the Gallup post said. "For many managers, they are being asked to communicate and enforce requirements that they personally may not prefer." AdvertisementAdvertisementAdditionally, compared to their staff, managers are more likely to be looking for a job, Gallup found. Managers are also more likely to feel like their organization cares little about their wellbeing, Gallup found.
Persons: Gallup, Gallup's Heather Barrett, Nela Richardson, Richardson, Heather Barrett, Barrett, Organizations: Service, Gallup, Fortune, Companies, ADP, ADP Research Institute, ADP Research Locations: Wall, Silicon
The answer matters a lot to Federal Reserve officials who closely monitor the labor market. Some Fed officials believe more rate hikes are needed to cool the labor market. But the gap between ADP and BLS data does not automatically narrow when comparing ADP to BLS estimates of only private-sector jobs. Between the two, it’s difficult to say which is a better predictor of the true state of the labor market. Ultimately, ADP and BLS data “become checks on each other,” she told CNN.
Persons: It’s, ” Nela Richardson, Richardson, Sarah House, , Erica Groshen, Groshen, ” Richardson, House, Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, ADP, BLS, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Cornell University Locations: New York, Wells Fargo, , United States
Job creation in the United States slowed more than expected in August, according to ADP, a sign that the surprisingly resilient U.S. economy might be starting to ease under pressure from higher interest rates. The firm reported Wednesday that private employers added 177,000 jobs in August, well below the revised total of 371,000 jobs added in July. ADP also reported that pay growth slowed for workers who changed jobs and those who stayed in their current positions. The ADP report has traditionally been seen as a signal of what the Department of Labor's monthly jobs report will show. The Department of Labor's jobs report is due out on Friday.
Persons: Dow Jones, Nela Richardson, Jerome Powell Organizations: ADP, Labor, Federal Locations: Manhattan, New York City, United States
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